Model Predictions
| Model | North Florida Ospreys | Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles +3 (87-84). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
North Florida Ospreys
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Nesbitt * | 38 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 23 | -10.1 |
| Beau Beech * | 35 | 7-15 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | -5.8 |
| Dallas Moore * | 33 | 10-18 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 7 | -5.5 |
| Chris Davenport * | 29 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | -4.5 |
| Romelo Banks * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1.9 |
| Trent Mackey | 28 | 6-7 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 12 | -14.8 |
| Demarcus Daniels | 17 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -7.7 |
| Devin Wilson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -3.2 |
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Jackson * | 32 | 12-18 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 26 | - |
| Aleksa Jugovic * | 28 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | +9.3 |
| Josiah Moore * | 28 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | +14.8 |
| Javon McKay * | 23 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -1 | +11.3 |
| DeOndre Haynes * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | +11.1 |
| Shirmane Thomas | 26 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +2.3 |
| Dwan Caldwell | 20 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 10 | -3.1 |
| Jordan Johnson | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -3.8 |
| Anthony Morse | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3.9 |
| Mason Ramsey | 7 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +2.3 |
* = starter