Model Predictions
| Model | Kennesaw State Owls | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.2% | 95.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.0% | 93.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 0.3% | 99.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 0.3% | 99.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 8.3% | 91.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +48 (93-45). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Kennesaw State Owls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delbert Love * | 36 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -29.9 |
| Yonel Brown * | 36 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | -14.8 |
| Nigel Pruitt * | 24 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 5 | +3.1 |
| Orlando Coleman * | 21 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -22.0 |
| Bernard Morena * | 20 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | -10.2 |
| Damien Wilson | 30 | 3-13 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | -15.2 |
| Justin Diecker | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -6.8 |
| Nick Masterson | 15 | 2-8 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -3 | -18.1 |
| Alijah Bennett | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
| Jordan Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.5 |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendrick Nunn * | 25 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +12.2 |
| Rayvonte Rice * | 22 | 7-7 | 2-2 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 22 | +19.0 |
| Nnanna Egwu * | 20 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | +22.1 |
| Malcolm Hill * | 20 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 21 | +14.6 |
| Ahmad Starks * | 18 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | +13.8 |
| Aaron Cosby | 23 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | +19.0 |
| Jaylon Tate | 23 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | +7.4 |
| Leron Black | 19 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +7.7 |
| Maverick Morgan | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | +8.3 |
| Austin Colbert | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -9.2 |
| Mike La Tulip | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -8.0 |
| Cameron Liss | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.9 |
* = starter