Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Kentucky Norse | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.6% | 90.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.3% | 90.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +21 (76-55). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Northern Kentucky Norse
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler White * | 33 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | +0.6 |
| Tayler Persons * | 27 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | -13.5 |
| Chad Jackson * | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | +4.9 |
| Jake Giesler * | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -2.7 |
| Deontae Cole * | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -2.1 |
| Anthony Monaco | 25 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -5.2 |
| Todd Johnson | 24 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | +0.6 |
| Jalen Billups | 22 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 7 | +1.2 |
| Jordan Jackson | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -0.1 |
| Cole Murray | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.4 |
| Matt Rosenwinkel | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +1.4 |
| Dean Danos | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3.3 |
| Daniel Camps | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -4.3 |
| Jordan Garnett | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +3.1 |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Demps * | 36 | 9-18 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 16 | +2.1 |
| Bryant McIntosh * | 34 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | +6.3 |
| Alex Olah * | 25 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 14 | +1.6 |
| Sanjay Lumpkin * | 23 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 12 | -6.2 |
| Vic Law * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | +1.9 |
| Scottie Lindsey | 22 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 12 | +15.0 |
| Gavin Skelly | 13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | +2.2 |
| Dave Sobolewski | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -9.4 |
| Nathan Taphorn | 7 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -1.9 |
| Jeremiah Kreisberg | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.3 |
| Johnnie Vassar | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.3 |
| Nick Segura | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter