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2014-11-25

Model Predictions

Model Liberty Flames North Florida Ospreys Spread Result
Elo 4.6% 95.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 9.2% 90.8% - โœ“
Margin 4.0% 96.0% +17.5 โœ“ (2.5 off)
Pythagorean 15.7% 84.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.2% 98.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.1% 98.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 17.6% 82.4% - โœ“

Actual: North Florida Ospreys +20 (77-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Liberty Flames

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tomasz Gielo * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 5 7 -
Joe Retic * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 3 1 2 1 8 -
Peter Moller * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 3 4 6 -
Andrew Smith * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 2 4 6 7 -
A.C. Reid 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 9 8 -
Ryan Kemrite 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
Ethan Layer 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 0 0 0 1 6 -
Evan Maxwell 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Calvin Hoffman 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
Jordan Dembley 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

North Florida Ospreys

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dallas Moore * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 1 0 4 20 24 -
Beau Beech * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 8 13 -
Jalen Nesbitt * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 2 1 2 10 18 -
Chris Davenport * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 3 0 1 9 18 -
Romelo Banks * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 2 6 12 -
Trent Mackey 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 9 11 -
D. Daniels 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 2 1 12 18 -
Aaron Bodager 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 3 4 -
Devin Wilson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter