Model Predictions
| Model | Belmont Bruins | Butler Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.4% | 92.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.1% | 92.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Butler Bulldogs +11 (67-56). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Belmont Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reece Chamberlain * | 37 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | -20.7 |
| Craig Bradshaw * | 35 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -3.5 |
| Taylor Barnette * | 33 | 3-9 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | -15.2 |
| Amanze Egekeze * | 31 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -12.8 |
| Evan Bradds * | 27 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | -1 | -9.4 |
| Nick Smith | 16 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | +2.9 |
| Caleb Chowbay | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +0.6 |
| Spencer Turner | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +6.3 |
| Tyler Hadden | 5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4.0 |
| Holden Mobley | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -7.1 |
| Austin Luke | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.4 |
| Jeff Laidig | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.2 |
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roosevelt Jones * | 38 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 16 | +15.2 |
| Kellen Dunham * | 36 | 5-11 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 9 | +10.5 |
| Kameron Woods * | 31 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | +11.5 |
| Alex Barlow * | 29 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | +20.5 |
| Andrew Chrabascz * | 27 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +9.9 |
| Kelan Martin | 16 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | +1.7 |
| Tyler Wideman | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 14 | +4.8 |
| Austin Etherington | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +1.3 |
| Jackson Aldridge | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.3 |
* = starter