Model Predictions
| Model | Tulane Green Wave | St. John's Red Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.1% | 94.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: St. John's Red Storm +25 (82-57). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages; those weekly fits give St. John's Red Storm, ESPN's listed home team, the home edge at this neutral site.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Tulane Green Wave
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Stark * | 33 | 6-15 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 0 | -9.1 |
| Jay Hook * | 30 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | -1.9 |
| Louis Dabney * | 28 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | -2.0 |
| Tre Drye * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -8.0 |
| Ryan Smith * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +9.9 |
| Dylan Osetkowski | 23 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 3-6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | -19.5 |
| Kajon Mack | 20 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -17.3 |
| Josh Hearlihy | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +4.3 |
| Keith Pinckney | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | -6.8 |
| Payton Henson | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -9.4 |
| Aaron Liberman | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.1 |
St. John's Red Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sir'Dominic Pointer * | 34 | 9-13 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 25 | +8.4 |
| Phil Greene IV * | 28 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +14.1 |
| D'Angelo Harrison * | 27 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 14 | +10.5 |
| Jamal Branch * | 27 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | +9.3 |
| Chris Obekpa * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | -5.6 |
| Rysheed Jordan | 22 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 6 | +12.6 |
| Felix Balamou | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +3.4 |
| Christian Jones | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +12.2 |
| Myles Stewart | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -5.0 |
| Joey De La Rosa | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | +2.3 |
| Amar Alibegovic | 6 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +2.8 |
| Khadim Ndiaye | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.2 |
| David Lipscomb | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +1.3 |
* = starter