Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern Wildcats | Butler Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.9% | 66.1% | +3.7 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 4.5% | 95.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.0% | 92.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.0% | 92.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Butler Bulldogs +9 (65-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnnie Vassar | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Alex Olah * | 34 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| JerShon Cobb * | 28 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Sanjay Lumpkin * | 27 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Tre Demps * | 24 | 1-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Dave Sobolewski * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Bryant McIntosh | 28 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Vic Law | 25 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Nathan Taphorn | 12 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Gavin Skelly | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jeremiah Kreisberg | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roosevelt Jones * | 38 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Alex Barlow * | 37 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Kameron Woods * | 30 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Kellen Dunham * | 30 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Andrew Chrabascz * | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Kelan Martin | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Tyler Wideman | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Austin Etherington | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jackson Aldridge | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter