Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.9% | 60.1% | +2.2 | ✗ (24.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 79.5% | 20.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 89.2% | 10.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.1% | 11.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.1% | 11.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles -22 (59-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Rozier * | 38 | 3-14 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| W. Blackshear * | 37 | 7-13 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 11 | - |
| M. Harrell * | 36 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Q. Snider * | 29 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | - |
| C. Onuaku * | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| M. Mathiang | 21 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| A. Gill | 12 | 5-5 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| J. Johnson | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Aaron | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Mahmoud | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Levitch | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Avare | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bookert * | 40 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 1 | - |
| X. Rathan-Mayes * | 35 | 5-16 | 0-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | - |
| M. Brandon * | 32 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 11 | - |
| P. Cofer * | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Ojo * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Smith | 23 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| B. Bojanovsky | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 21 | - |
| K. Turpin | 14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| R. Berwick | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| B. Allen | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter