Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 91.5% | 8.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 76.5% | 23.5% | -6.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 81.3% | 18.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.3% | 4.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.1% | 5.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.1% | 5.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles -3 (70-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinn Cook * | 40 | 8-15 | 4-9 | 6-7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 13 | - |
| Tyus Jones * | 39 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 21 | - |
| Justise Winslow * | 32 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 7-10 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Jahlil Okafor * | 28 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Amile Jefferson * | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Matt Jones | 19 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Grayson Allen | 11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Marshall Plumlee | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Bookert * | 36 | 6-8 | 3-4 | 8-12 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 22 | - |
| Montay Brandon * | 36 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Xavier Rathan-Mayes * | 30 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -4 | - |
| Michael Ojo * | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | - |
| Phil Cofer * | 20 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Robbie Berwick | 20 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Boris Bojanovsky | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jarquez Smith | 13 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Kiel Turpin | 6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Brandon Allen | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter