Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Boston College Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.5% | 20.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 87.6% | 12.4% | -10.7 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 80.0% | 20.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.6% | 4.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.4% | 12.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.4% | 12.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston College Eagles -11 (68-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brice Johnson * | 34 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Marcus Paige * | 33 | 5-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Justin Jackson * | 29 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Isaiah Hicks * | 28 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 7-11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Nate Britt * | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J.P. Tokoto | 29 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Kennedy Meeks | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| J. Berry II | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Joel James | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jackson Simmons | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Boston College Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivier Hanlan * | 40 | 10-20 | 2-9 | 8-9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 6 | - |
| Aaron Brown * | 35 | 6-12 | 2-7 | 4-5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Patrick Heckmann * | 33 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Dimitri Batten * | 32 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Dennis Clifford * | 26 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Eddie Odio | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Garland Owens | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| John Cain Carney | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter