Model Predictions
| Model | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.4% | 95.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.9% | 92.1% | +13.5 | ✓ (16.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +30 (90-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Vasturia * | 33 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Demetrius Jackson * | 33 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Pat Connaughton * | 31 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Jerian Grant * | 30 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 1-7 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Zach Auguste * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| V.J. Beachem | 17 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Bonzie Colson | 16 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Austin Torres | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Martinas Geben | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Matt Farrell | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Austin Burgett | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Eric Katenda | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinn Cook * | 36 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Tyus Jones * | 34 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 21 | - |
| Justise Winslow * | 31 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 22 | - |
| Jahlil Okafor * | 23 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Amile Jefferson * | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Matt Jones | 27 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Grayson Allen | 16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Marshall Plumlee | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Sean Kelly | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nick Pagliuca | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter