Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.1% | 53.9% | -0.8 | ✗ (5.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.4% | 51.6% | +0.4 | ✗ (6.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -6 (63-69). Ratings: 2014-15 season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyus Jones * | 38 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Quinn Cook * | 36 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Jahlil Okafor * | 35 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Justise Winslow * | 31 | 7-16 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Amile Jefferson * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Matt Jones | 24 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Grayson Allen | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Marshall Plumlee | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malcolm Brogdon * | 37 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | - |
| London Perrantes * | 36 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Justin Anderson * | 33 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Darion Atkins * | 28 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Anthony Gill * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Mike Tobey | 18 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Isaiah Wilkins | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Marial Shayok | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Evan Nolte | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Devon Hall | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter