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2015-01-21

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Wake Forest Demon Deacons Spread Result
Elo 55.3% 44.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 65.8% 34.2% - โœ“
Margin 73.3% 26.7% -5.6 โœ“ (10.4 off)
Pythagorean 87.9% 12.1% - โœ“
Efficiency 96.2% 3.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 93.3% 6.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 93.4% 6.6% - โœ“

Actual: Wake Forest Demon Deacons -16 (71-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcus Paige * 35 4-8 2-4 2-2 1 8 3 1 3 12 14 -
Justin Jackson * 34 6-8 1-2 4-6 3 1 2 0 1 17 14 -
Brice Johnson * 31 8-11 0-0 3-4 6 3 2 0 3 19 16 -
J.P. Tokoto * 28 4-8 0-2 0-4 6 3 2 0 1 8 10 -
Kennedy Meeks * 22 8-11 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 1 1 16 14 -
Nate Britt 17 1-5 0-1 3-4 4 0 0 0 2 5 2 -
Isaiah Hicks 12 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
Joel James 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 2 0 2 4 -
Theo Pinson 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Jackson Simmons 4 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Desmond Hubert 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mitchell Wilbekin * 33 3-8 2-5 2-2 2 3 2 0 1 10 8 -
Codi Miller-McIntyre * 31 6-14 1-3 7-11 6 6 1 0 4 20 15 -
Devin Thomas * 31 4-8 0-0 4-7 12 2 0 0 2 12 16 -
Darius Leonard * 19 0-5 0-4 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 -2 -
Greg McClinton * 14 2-5 0-0 0-2 1 1 2 0 1 4 2 -
D. Mitoglou 23 3-8 2-7 2-2 2 0 0 0 4 10 0 -
Cornelius Hudson 21 3-6 2-5 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 8 4 -
Madison Jones 21 2-4 0-0 1-2 4 4 0 0 2 5 7 -
Andre Washington 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter