Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Tech Hokies | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.7% | 84.3% | +9.2 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.8% | 93.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.0% | 93.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +15 (68-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Tech Hokies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Wilson * | 35 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | - |
| W. Johnston * | 27 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | - |
| A. Hill * | 25 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| M. Muller * | 23 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| S. Pierce * | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Hudson | 26 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| S. Henry | 20 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| A. Smith | 20 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| C. Beyer | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Paige * | 34 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 4 | - |
| J.P. Tokoto * | 29 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Justin Jackson * | 27 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Brice Johnson * | 25 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Kennedy Meeks * | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Isaiah Hicks | 18 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Theo Pinson | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Nate Britt | 15 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Joel James | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jackson Simmons | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Desmond Hubert | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter