Model Predictions
| Model | Hartford Hawks | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.6% | 98.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.6% | 98.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Notre Dame Fighting Irish +27 (87-60). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Hartford Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Nwakamma * | 31 | 7-15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | -7.6 |
| Yolonzo Moore II * | 31 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | -10.4 |
| Corban Wroe * | 29 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | -2.5 |
| Taylor Dyson * | 22 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | +4.7 |
| Nate Sikma * | 16 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | +3.5 |
| Wes Cole | 22 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -14.1 |
| Justin Graham | 19 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | -14.3 |
| John Carroll | 19 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | -3.1 |
| Jamie Schneck | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -7.1 |
| Dougal Weir | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2.1 |
| Mark Plousis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +0.0 |
| Noah Arciero | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +0.0 |
| Andrew Crowley | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demetrius Jackson * | 33 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 19 | +8.0 |
| Jerian Grant * | 32 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | +2.8 |
| Pat Connaughton * | 30 | 6-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 17 | +2.4 |
| Zach Auguste * | 28 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 12 | -4.2 |
| Steve Vasturia * | 26 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +14.3 |
| V.J. Beachem | 16 | 3-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | +12.0 |
| Austin Torres | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -3.1 |
| Austin Burgett | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +8.4 |
| Martinas Geben | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +10.1 |
| Bonzie Colson | 3 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +2.1 |
| Eric Katenda | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.7 |
| Matt Farrell | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.8 |
| Matt Gregory | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +2.6 |
* = starter