Model Predictions
| Model | Florida Gators | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 74.5% | 25.5% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.1% | 3.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.3% | 3.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles +2 (65-63). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Florida Gators
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kasey Hill * | 32 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 30 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Michael Frazier II * | 30 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 1 | - |
| Alex Murphy * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jon Horford * | 14 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Devin Robinson | 27 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Jacob Kurtz | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Chris Walker | 13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Chris Chiozza | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Eli Carter | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Bookert * | 39 | 4-14 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 0 | - |
| Montay Brandon * | 37 | 6-12 | 1-1 | 4-8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Xavier Rathan-Mayes * | 37 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Philip Cofer * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Michael Ojo * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jarquez Smith | 23 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Boris Bojanovsky | 16 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Kiel Turpin | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Robbie Berwick | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Dayshawn Watkins | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter