Model Predictions
| Model | UMass Lowell River Hawks | Boston College Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston College Eagles +23 (70-47). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UMass Lowell River Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahad Thomas * | 35 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 8 | -12.0 |
| Chad Holley * | 32 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | -18.0 |
| Marco Banegas-Flores * | 32 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | -23.7 |
| Mark Cornelius * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -2 | -15.2 |
| Kerry Weldon * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -8.6 |
| Lance Crawford | 26 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 8 | +4.9 |
| Tyler Livingston | 19 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -5 | -13.9 |
| Brad Schaub | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | +1.7 |
| DJ Mlachnik | 14 | 3-8 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -1 | +2.5 |
Boston College Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivier Hanlan * | 33 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | +24.0 |
| Aaron Brown * | 30 | 9-12 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 16 | +24.1 |
| Dennis Clifford * | 25 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 18 | +22.3 |
| Dimitri Batten * | 24 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | +11.4 |
| Patrick Heckmann * | 22 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | +16.9 |
| Eddie Odio | 19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2.7 |
| Alex Dragicevich | 16 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -1.4 |
| John Cain Carney | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1.6 |
| Garland Owens | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.4 |
| Lonnie Jackson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.6 |
| Will Magarity | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -6.4 |
| Sam Donahue | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Steve Perpiglia | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1.7 |
* = starter