Model Predictions
| Model | Kentucky Wildcats | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.4% | 31.6% | -4.3 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 94.3% | 5.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.0% | 17.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.6% | 17.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals -8 (50-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Lyles * | 30 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 12 | - |
| K. Towns * | 26 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 8 | - |
| A. Harrison * | 26 | 2-10 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| W. Cauley-Stein * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| A. Harrison * | 20 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -2 | - |
| D. Booker | 28 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| T. Ulis | 26 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| D. Johnson | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | - |
| M. Lee | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Harrell * | 40 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| T. Rozier * | 37 | 5-18 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 7 | - |
| C. Jones * | 37 | 3-15 | 1-5 | 6-8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 3 | - |
| W. Blackshear * | 35 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 6-9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | - |
| C. Onuaku * | 20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| M. Mathiang | 20 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Aaron | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Q. Snider | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter