Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.2% | 89.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.5% | 94.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.2% | 97.8% | +20.9 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +25 (80-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devonte Elliott | 33 | 4-14 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Stephen Maxwell * | 36 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Stephan Hicks * | 35 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Tre Hale-Edmerson * | 34 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Landon Drew * | 25 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Aaron Parks | 21 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Taelin Webb | 14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Ajon Efferson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Robert Cid | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Blackshear * | 37 | 11-17 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 25 | - |
| M. Mathiang * | 30 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 15 | - |
| T. Rozier * | 27 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 16 | - |
| C. Jones * | 26 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| C. Onuaku * | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| A. Mahmoud | 25 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | - |
| D. Levitch | 14 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| A. Gill | 10 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Q. Snider | 6 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Johnson | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Aaron | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Gilbert | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter