Model Predictions
| Model | Ohio State Buckeyes | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.3% | 66.7% | +3.8 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +8 (82-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ohio State Buckeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D'Angelo Russell * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 25 | - |
| Shannon Scott * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 23 | - |
| Sam Thompson * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 23 | - |
| Marc Loving * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 20 | - |
| Amir Williams * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Kam Williams | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Trey McDonald | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Anthony Lee | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Keita Bates-Diop | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Paige * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 19 | - |
| J.P. Tokoto * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 22 | - |
| Kennedy Meeks * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 23 | - |
| Brice Johnson * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 29 | - |
| Justin Jackson * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 19 | - |
| Nate Britt | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Theo Pinson | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| J. Berry II | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Isaiah Hicks | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Joel James | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
* = starter