Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.9% | 68.1% | +4.2 | ✓ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 2.3% | 97.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +14 (84-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Paige * | 34 | 5-11 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 6 | - |
| J.P. Tokoto * | 26 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Brice Johnson * | 24 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Kennedy Meeks * | 22 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Justin Jackson * | 18 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Nate Britt | 17 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Theo Pinson | 13 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Joel James | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Isaiah Hicks | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Berry II | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Jackson Simmons | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Desmond Hubert | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Stilman White | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willie Cauley-Stein * | 28 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 17 | - |
| A. Harrison * | 26 | 5-9 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| A. Harrison * | 25 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 9-10 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Trey Lyles * | 23 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| K. Towns * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Tyler Ulis | 24 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Devin Booker | 22 | 5-8 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Dakari Johnson | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Marcus Lee | 12 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
* = starter