Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | Western Michigan Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.9% | 41.1% | -2.0 | ✓ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.1% | 28.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Western Michigan Broncos -10 (87-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.D. Weatherspoon * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 22 | - |
| J. Williams * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 12 | - |
| J. Brown * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 26 | - |
| N. Boothe * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 21 | - |
| J. Drummond * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 26 | - |
| J. Lauf | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Z. Garber | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Mosley | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| K. Hall | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| A. Aparicio | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Williams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
Western Michigan Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Richie * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| David Brown * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 30 | - |
| Drake LaMont * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Taylor Perry * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Connar Tava * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Thomas Wilder | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 40 | - |
| A.J. Avery | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Kellen McCormick | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Mario Matasovic | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter