Model Predictions
| Model | Buffalo Bulls | Binghamton Bearcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 90.7% | 9.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 93.8% | 6.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 87.7% | 12.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 91.0% | 9.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 99.5% | 0.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 99.5% | 0.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 85.2% | 14.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Binghamton Bearcats -26 (50-76). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Buffalo Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shannon Evans II * | 36 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 5-6 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 25 | +15.9 |
| Will Regan * | 32 | 4-11 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | +18.7 |
| Rodell Wigginton * | 31 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | +9.1 |
| Lamonte Bearden * | 28 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +14.4 |
| Justin Moss * | 24 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 15 | +13.6 |
| Xavier Ford | 25 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | -5.5 |
| Raheem Johnson | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -8.4 |
| Bobby Frasco | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Christian Pino | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -7.5 |
Binghamton Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willie Rodriguez * | 34 | 5-14 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 1 | -10.6 |
| Justin McFadden * | 33 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -13.4 |
| Bobby Ahearn * | 32 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10 | -5.7 |
| Marlon Beck II * | 28 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3.6 |
| Romello Walker * | 18 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -9.8 |
| Karon Waller | 25 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +0.6 |
| Yosef Yacob | 11 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | -6.8 |
| Magnus Richards | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -5.3 |
| Jabrille Williams | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +2.3 |
| John Rinaldi | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +5.3 |
* = starter