Model Predictions
| Model | Santa Clara Broncos | Pacific Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Pacific Tigers -17 (40-57). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Santa Clara Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Brownridge * | 37 | 5-10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | +17.0 |
| Brandon Clark * | 34 | 3-12 | 0-6 | 3-4 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | +20.1 |
| Denzel Johnson * | 33 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | +21.3 |
| Nate Kratch * | 32 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 17 | +13.4 |
| Matt Hubbard * | 24 | 5-6 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | +19.9 |
| Jarvis Pugh | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -6.9 |
| Evan Wardlow | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -8.2 |
| Emmanuel Ndumanya | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +2.2 |
| Stephen Edwards | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -2.0 |
| Kai Healy | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.8 |
| Jalen Richard | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.1 |
Pacific Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ray Bowles Jr. * | 30 | 2-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | -9.9 |
| Alec Kobre * | 28 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | -8.6 |
| Eric Thompson * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -11.5 |
| T.J. Wallace * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | -13.0 |
| Gabriel Aguirre * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -12.3 |
| David Taylor | 27 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -4.6 |
| Dulani Robinson | 26 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | -9.0 |
| Jacob Lampkin | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -5.5 |
| D.J. Ursery | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.4 |
| Sami Eleraky | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1.3 |
* = starter