Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Pilots | BYU Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.0% | 91.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: BYU Cougars +9 (97-88). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Wintering * | 35 | 6-12 | 3-3 | 15-17 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 21 | - |
| Bryce Pressley * | 29 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Volodymyr Gerun * | 27 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Thomas van der Mars * | 25 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Riley Barker * | 24 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Jason Todd | 25 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Bobby Sharp | 24 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| D'Marques Tyson | 8 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Gabe Taylor | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Philipp Hartwich | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
BYU Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Haws * | 35 | 8-20 | 1-5 | 7-8 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 16 | - |
| Kyle Collinsworth * | 32 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 9-13 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 27 | - |
| Anson Winder * | 30 | 10-14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Chase Fischer * | 27 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Luke Worthington * | 20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Skyler Halford | 23 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Corbin Kaufusi | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Jake Toolson | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dalton Nixon | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Isaac Neilson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Frank Bartley IV | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter