Model Predictions
| Model | Pepperdine Waves | Loyola Marymount Lions | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 74.5% | 25.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.2% | 14.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.3% | 14.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Loyola Marymount Lions -13 (56-69). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Pepperdine Waves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stacy Davis * | 31 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 13 | +7.2 |
| Jett Raines * | 27 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 16 | +2.1 |
| Shawn Olden II * | 26 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 5 | +10.4 |
| Jeremy Major * | 26 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | -0.4 |
| Atif Russell * | 18 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +15.7 |
| Amadi Udenyi | 25 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | +2.5 |
| Lamond Murray Jr. | 21 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | -10.1 |
| A.J. John | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +2.7 |
| David Jesperson | 10 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -2.9 |
| Jake Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
| John Yi | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nate Gehring | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.9 |
| Marley Biyendolo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.9 |
Loyola Marymount Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Payne * | 28 | 6-14 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 5 | -11.9 |
| Patson Siame * | 26 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | -1.4 |
| Ayodeji Egbeyemi * | 25 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | -6.6 |
| Simon Krajcovic * | 23 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -5.2 |
| Godwin Okonji * | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | -21.7 |
| David Humphries | 23 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | +10.6 |
| Petr Herman | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +8.9 |
| Matt Hayes | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | +2.7 |
| Marin Mornar | 15 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 11 | +0.5 |
| Chase Flint | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1.6 |
* = starter