Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Pilots | San Diego Toreros | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Diego Toreros -3 (58-61). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Wintering * | 32 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | -1 | - |
| Volodymyr Gerun * | 31 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Bobby Sharp * | 31 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Thomas van der Mars * | 26 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Bryce Pressley * | 24 | 3-12 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Riley Barker | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jason Todd | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| D'Marques Tyson | 13 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Gabe Taylor | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Diego Toreros
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny Dee * | 32 | 5-15 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Christopher Anderson * | 31 | 7-15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Thomas Jacobs * | 26 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Chris Sarbaugh * | 24 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Jito Kok * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Duda Sanadze | 16 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Brandon Perry | 15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Brett Bailey | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Vasa Pusica | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Marcus Harris | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Simi Fajemisin | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter