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2014-12-27

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs BYU Cougars Spread Result
Elo 48.4% 51.6% -
Bradley-Terry 71.5% 28.5% -
Margin 72.8% 27.2% -5.4 (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 65.5% 34.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 58.6% 41.4% -
Log Adjusted 57.9% 42.1% -

Actual: BYU Cougars -7 (80-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Pangos * 38 6-11 5-8 4-6 2 7 2 0 1 21 20 -
P. Karnowski * 33 4-6 0-0 1-2 10 3 0 1 2 9 15 -
K. Wiltjer * 31 11-23 2-5 0-0 5 2 0 1 0 24 9 -
B. Wesley * 29 5-12 0-1 5-6 10 3 2 0 0 15 18 -
G. Bell Jr. * 23 1-5 1-3 0-1 7 3 1 1 2 3 8 -
K. Dranginis 24 1-2 0-1 5-5 3 4 1 0 2 7 11 -
D. Sabonis 14 1-1 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -1 -
S. Melson 8 3-5 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 6 2 -

BYU Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Haws * 33 4-12 0-3 9-9 4 1 0 0 0 17 10 -
K. Collinsworth * 31 5-11 1-2 2-3 10 10 1 0 4 13 19 -
C. Fischer * 19 2-7 1-6 3-4 2 1 0 0 2 8 2 -
L. Worthington * 15 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 0 0 2 4 -
I. Neilson * 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
A. Winder 34 5-14 0-4 7-8 3 0 1 0 2 17 5 -
C. Kaufusi 22 2-3 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 0 1 5 6 -
J. Toolson 15 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 3 4 -
S. Halford 12 3-4 3-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 9 5 -
F. Bartley IV 11 1-2 1-2 3-3 3 1 0 0 1 6 7 -

* = starter