Model Predictions
| Model | American University Eagles | Colgate Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.4% | 63.6% | +3.1 | ✓ (12.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colgate Raiders +16 (59-43). Predictions use season-end ratings.
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesse Reed * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12 | - |
| P. Gardner * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 8 | - |
| John Schoof * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Charlie Jones * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Kevin Panzer * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Marko Vasic | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Jalen Rhea | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Alex Paquin | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Gabe Brown | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Justice Montgomery | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Langdon Neal | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Colgate Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt McMullen * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 22 | - |
| Luke Roh * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Damon Sherman-Newsome * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Ethan Jacobs * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| John Fenton | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Alex Ramon | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Pat Moore | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Anthony DeRiggs | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jordan Robertson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Sean O'Brien | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Andrew Bargmann | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nic Lane | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter