Model Predictions
| Model | Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | Navy Midshipmen | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Navy Midshipmen +23 (70-47). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Loyola Maryland Greyhounds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Hubbard * | 35 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 9 | -13.6 |
| Cam Gregory * | 27 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | -3.1 |
| Denzel Brito * | 25 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -6.1 |
| Franz Rassman * | 18 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | -5.9 |
| Chancellor Barnard * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -5.1 |
| Eric Laster | 25 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 0 | -9.8 |
| Andre Walker | 19 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -4.4 |
| Nick Gorski | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -7.3 |
| Stefano Mancini | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Colton Bishop | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Matt Staubi | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -3.6 |
| Sean Tuohy Jr. | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.6 |
| Josh Forney | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Navy Midshipmen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tilman Dunbar * | 33 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | +9.9 |
| Worth Smith * | 31 | 9-15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 17 | +8.4 |
| Kendall Knorr * | 24 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +9.8 |
| Edward Alade * | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | +0.3 |
| Brandon Venturini * | 23 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | +9.8 |
| Shawn Anderson | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | +2.9 |
| Will Kelly | 14 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 13 | +8.5 |
| Michael Brown | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Zach Fong | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | +0.6 |
| Kevin Alter | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.5 |
| Earl McLaurin | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | +2.6 |
| James Hemphill | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +2.2 |
* = starter