Model Predictions
| Model | Lafayette Leopards | Army Black Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Army Black Knights -14 (78-92). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Lafayette Leopards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Ptasinski * | 32 | 6-8 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 17 | -5.6 |
| Seth Hinrichs * | 29 | 8-13 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 12 | +2.1 |
| Nick Lindner * | 27 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | +5.7 |
| Bryce Scott * | 27 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | +9.1 |
| Dan Trist * | 24 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | +2.0 |
| Zach Rufer | 20 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | -4.1 |
| Monty Boykins | 15 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4-7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | +0.0 |
| Nathaniel Musters | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.3 |
| Mike Hoffman | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +0.8 |
| Matt Klinewski | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +4.9 |
| Eric Stafford | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
| Alan Flannigan | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.2 |
Army Black Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Wilson * | 36 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | -0.7 |
| Dylan Cox * | 27 | 5-11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | -0.9 |
| Larry Toomey * | 22 | 6-11 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 15 | +8.7 |
| Kevin Ferguson * | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | -8.8 |
| Tanner Plomb * | 18 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | -4.8 |
| Mo Williams | 20 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2.9 |
| Travis Rollo | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -2.9 |
| Nathan Dodge | 14 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Milton Washington | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -2.3 |
| Luke Morrison | 12 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -0.7 |
| Kieffer Jordan | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1.9 |
* = starter