Model Predictions
| Model | American University Eagles | Bucknell Bison | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.4% | 23.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.6% | 23.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Bucknell Bison +10 (57-47). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Schoof * | 40 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -2 | -3.5 |
| Charlie Jones * | 40 | 5-13 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | -7.8 |
| Jesse Reed * | 39 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | -1.0 |
| P. Gardner * | 34 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | -7.6 |
| Zach Elcano * | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | -2.0 |
| Marko Vasic | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -6.8 |
| Jalen Rhea | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +1.3 |
| Gabe Brown | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +2.6 |
| Justice Montgomery | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.8 |
| Alex Paquin | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.8 |
Bucknell Bison
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Hass * | 33 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 6-9 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | +0.6 |
| Ryan Frazier * | 25 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.8 |
| John Azzinaro * | 21 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -1.6 |
| Dom Hoffman * | 20 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -4 | -0.4 |
| Nana Foulland * | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | +1.4 |
| J.C. Show | 24 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +11.3 |
| D.J. MacLeay | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | +1.4 |
| Steven Kaspar | 19 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +3.9 |
| Cory Starkey | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | +5.3 |
* = starter