Model Predictions
| Model | Boston University Terriers | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.2% | 93.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.0% | 96.0% | +17.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +16 (78-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston University Terriers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Papale * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Cedric Hankerson * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 30 | - |
| Nathan Dieudonne * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 25 | - |
| Justin Alston * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Cheddi Mosely * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Eric Fanning | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Blaise Mbargorba | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Eric Johnson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendall Pollard * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 28 | - |
| Jordan Sibert * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 21 | - |
| Scoochie Smith * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Dyshawn Pierre * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 16 | - |
| Kyle Davis * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Darrell Davis | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 21 | - |
| Bobby Wehrli | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Ryan Bass | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
* = starter