Model Predictions
| Model | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | American University Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.8% | 74.2% | +5.8 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: American University Eagles +1 (46-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Graves * | 32 | 2-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Kristijan Krajina * | 30 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Andy Smeathers * | 22 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Junior Robinson * | 20 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Taylor Danaher | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Khalid Nwandu | 20 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Will Miller | 19 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| B.K. Ashe | 10 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Charles Glover | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Schoof * | 40 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| P. Gardner * | 40 | 8-13 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Jesse Reed * | 38 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Charlie Jones * | 34 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Zach Elcano * | 16 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Marko Vasic | 30 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Jalen Rhea | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter