Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Joseph's Hawks | Denver Pioneers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Pioneers +4 (77-73). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Saint Joseph's Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeAndre' Bembry * | 44 | 8-13 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 16 | -11.0 |
| Isaiah Miles * | 41 | 8-11 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 15 | -6.9 |
| Chris Wilson * | 36 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -11.3 |
| James Demery * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -8.1 |
| Javon Baumann * | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -9.2 |
| Aaron Brown | 33 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | +0.6 |
| Shavar Newkirk | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +1.7 |
| Evan Maschmeyer | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -0.4 |
| Brendan Casper | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -2.1 |
Denver Pioneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brett Olson * | 42 | 9-12 | 5-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 21 | +14.8 |
| Cam Griffin * | 40 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 5-9 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 15 | +9.6 |
| Marcus Byrd * | 37 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 12 | +16.2 |
| Jalen Love * | 35 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | +10.9 |
| Nate Engesser * | 34 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | +21.5 |
| Duke Douglas | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -7.1 |
| Christian Mackey | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5.6 |
| Bryant Rucker | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -10.4 |
| Jake Pemberton | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.1 |
* = starter