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Model Predictions

Model IU Indianapolis Jaguars Pepperdine Waves Spread Result
Elo 7.6% 92.4% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 21.9% 78.1% - โœ—
Margin 20.8% 79.2% - โœ—
Pythagorean 17.9% 82.1% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 5.6% 94.4% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 5.6% 94.4% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 21.3% 78.7% - โœ—

Actual: Pepperdine Waves -2 (53-55). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

IU Indianapolis Jaguars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Marcellus Barksdale * 35 2-8 0-1 1-2 7 7 2 0 1 5 12 +5.7
Aaron Brennan * 21 4-8 0-1 2-4 3 0 1 0 1 10 5 -4.6
Mason Archie II * 21 2-6 1-3 0-1 0 2 0 0 1 5 0 -4.8
D.J. McCall * 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -4.8
Justus Stanback * 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -6.8
P.J. Boutte 28 1-4 1-3 0-0 4 1 2 0 2 3 4 -
DavRon Williams 27 6-10 0-0 4-5 9 0 0 3 0 16 18 -
Khufu Najee 22 3-6 0-0 3-4 2 3 1 0 2 9 7 +14.4
Josh James 16 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 1 2 4 +15.5
Elijah Ray 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -3 +7.6
Leo Svete 6 1-4 0-2 1-1 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 -

Pepperdine Waves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Stacy Davis * 36 4-10 1-3 1-1 10 2 1 1 4 10 10 -11.1
Jett Raines * 34 4-8 0-1 0-1 8 1 1 3 2 8 11 +2.5
Jeremy Major * 30 4-9 2-4 4-6 1 1 1 0 2 14 6 +5.8
Shawn Olden II * 23 5-10 2-3 3-4 4 4 1 0 2 15 12 +2.0
Atif Russell * 16 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -8.3
Lamond Murray Jr. 25 1-5 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 1 2 4 0 -17.8
Amadi Udenyi 24 1-7 0-2 0-2 2 1 1 0 1 2 -2 -16.3
A.J. John 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 4 -9.6
Nate Gehring 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -5.4
Marley Biyendolo 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.1

* = starter