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2015-02-26

Model Predictions

Model SMU Mustangs Memphis Tigers Spread Result
Elo 34.2% 65.8% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 36.5% 63.5% - โœ—
Margin 41.5% 58.5% +1.9 โœ— (10.9 off)
Pythagorean 89.4% 10.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 88.7% 11.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 88.7% 11.3% - โœ“

Actual: Memphis Tigers -9 (57-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nic Moore * 37 5-11 3-6 3-4 3 5 0 0 0 16 13 -
Ryan Manuel * 36 4-6 1-2 2-4 3 3 0 0 3 11 8 -
Sterling Brown * 35 3-5 2-4 0-1 5 4 2 0 1 8 13 -
Yanick Moreira * 26 3-7 0-0 5-8 4 1 0 2 2 11 9 -
Ben Moore * 17 1-6 0-0 3-6 8 3 1 1 1 5 11 -
Markus Kennedy 24 2-6 0-0 0-1 3 1 6 1 0 4 9 -
Cannen Cunningham 19 3-4 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 1 0 6 6 -
Ben Emelogu 6 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 2 -

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shaq Goodwin * 37 7-13 1-3 2-3 7 1 2 2 2 17 14 -
Avery Woodson * 34 3-11 2-8 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 8 0 -
Austin Nichols * 30 2-11 0-0 2-2 8 1 0 5 2 6 7 -
Kedren Johnson * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 0 4 -
Markel Crawford * 12 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 2 2 0 0 0 3 -
Nick King 25 5-7 2-2 2-2 5 2 1 0 2 14 13 -
D'Marnier Cunningham 19 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 4 0 0 3 0 0 -
Calvin Godfrey 16 3-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 6 4 -
Trahson Burrell 12 3-5 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 6 2 -

* = starter