Model Predictions
| Model | UConn Huskies | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.2% | 12.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 62.1% | 37.9% | -2.7 | ✗ (20.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +18 (73-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UConn Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Guest | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ryan Boatright * | 39 | 5-13 | 4-11 | 5-6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Daniel Hamilton * | 31 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Rodney Purvis * | 31 | 1-9 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -5 | - |
| Terrence Samuel * | 26 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Amida Brimah * | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Kentan Facey | 22 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Omar Calhoun | 12 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Phillip Nolan | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Rakim Lubin | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nic Moore * | 36 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Ryan Manuel * | 34 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Sterling Brown * | 28 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Yanick Moreira * | 25 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Ben Moore * | 18 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Markus Kennedy | 23 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Cannen Cunningham | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Ben Emelogu | 12 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jonathan Wilfong | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Mudiay | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Kevin Dunleavy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter