Model Predictions
| Model | SMU Mustangs | Houston Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.6% | 92.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 9.8% | 90.2% | +12.2 | ✗ (18.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.0% | 15.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.0% | 15.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Cougars -6 (69-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Manuel * | 33 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| N. Moore * | 32 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 16 | - |
| S. Brown * | 32 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Y. Moreira * | 23 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| B. Moore * | 16 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| M. Kennedy | 24 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| C. Cunningham | 22 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| B. Emelogu II | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Drexler | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L.J. Rose * | 40 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 4 | - |
| L. Barnes * | 36 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| D. Knowles * | 34 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| J. Stiggers * | 32 | 5-15 | 5-15 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 2 | - |
| J.C. Washington * | 20 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| D. Pollard | 23 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| E. Weary Jr. | 14 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
* = starter