Model Predictions
| Model | Cincinnati Bearcats | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.5% | 49.5% | -0.1 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs -8 (54-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Caupain * | 36 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 3-5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| O. Ellis * | 36 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | - |
| J. Sanders * | 34 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| K. Johnson * | 22 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | - |
| G. Clark * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| S. Thomas | 25 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| F. Cobb | 23 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 5 | - |
| C. DeBerry | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Q. Moore | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Moore * | 38 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 5-5 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| S. Brown * | 37 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| R. Manuel * | 36 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Y. Moreira * | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| B. Moore * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Kennedy | 28 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | - |
| C. Cunningham | 18 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| B. Emelogu II | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter