Model Predictions
| Model | Cincinnati Bearcats | East Carolina Pirates | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 85.7% | 14.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.1% | 22.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 86.3% | 13.7% | -10.1 | ✗ (14.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.4% | 7.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.5% | 7.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.2% | 29.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: East Carolina Pirates +4 (50-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Clark * | 33 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Octavius Ellis * | 32 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 25 | - |
| Kevin Johnson * | 28 | 1-8 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Farad Cobb * | 27 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Jermaine Sanders * | 26 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Troy Caupain | 25 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Shaq Thomas | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Coreontae DeBerry | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Deshaun Morman | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
East Carolina Pirates
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marshall Guilmette * | 30 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Caleb White * | 25 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Antonio Robinson * | 21 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Michel Nzege * | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Paris Roberts-Campbell | 25 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| B.J. Tyson | 24 | 8-14 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Lance Tejada | 19 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Michael Zangari | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Kanu Aja | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter