Model Predictions
| Model | UNC Greensboro Spartans | East Carolina Pirates | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: East Carolina Pirates +21 (71-50). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UNC Greensboro Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Paulos * | 39 | 3-12 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | -18.1 |
| Diante Baldwin * | 35 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 16 | -12.2 |
| Kayel Locke * | 29 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -2 | -18.1 |
| Tevon Saddler * | 27 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 3 | -12.4 |
| R.J. White * | 12 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -7.4 |
| Jordy Kuiper | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | -0.2 |
| Clay Byrd | 16 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | -13.5 |
| Ben Dickinson | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -7.2 |
| Marvin Smith | 9 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | -6.3 |
East Carolina Pirates
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terry Whisnant * | 28 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 18 | +7.3 |
| Caleb White * | 26 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | +9.2 |
| Antonio Robinson * | 26 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | +25.1 |
| Michel Nzege * | 18 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | +18.3 |
| Michael Zangari * | 18 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +8.8 |
| Paris Roberts-Campbell | 23 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | +16.7 |
| B.J. Tyson | 21 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | +0.9 |
| Kanu Aja | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +2.1 |
| Lance Tejada | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -4.2 |
| Prince Williams | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +3.8 |
| Keith Armstrong | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Greg Alexander | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.0 |
| Grant Bryant | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.0 |
* = starter