Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas Razorbacks | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.5% | 54.5% | +1.0 | ✗ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.3% | 18.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.2% | 18.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs -6 (72-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bobby Portis | 30 | 8-13 | 1-1 | 5-7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Michael Qualls | 29 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Jacorey Williams | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Anthlon Bell | 26 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Rashad Madden | 21 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Manuale Watkins | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Anton Beard | 14 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Alandise Harris | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Jabril Durham | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Moses Kingsley | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Nick Weiler-Babb | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Keaton Miles | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Moore | 38 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Nic Moore | 32 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 8-8 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Keith Frazier | 28 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Ben Emelogu | 24 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Yanick Moreira | 24 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Ryan Manuel | 20 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Sterling Brown | 18 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Cannen Cunningham | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
* = starter