Model Predictions
| Model | SMU Mustangs | Indiana Hoosiers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.2% | 69.8% | +4.6 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Hoosiers +6 (74-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Martin | 27 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| B. Moore * | 37 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 12 | - |
| N. Moore * | 30 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| S. Brown * | 27 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Y. Moreira * | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| C. Cunningham | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 2 | - |
| K. Frazier | 18 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| B. Emelogu II | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| R. Manuel | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Ferrell * | 36 | 3-13 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - |
| R. Johnson * | 34 | 3-10 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | - |
| J. Blackmon Jr. * | 34 | 7-15 | 5-10 | 7-7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 18 | - |
| H. Mosquera-Perea * | 29 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| N. Zeisloft * | 16 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| T. Williams | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| C. Hartman | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| S. Robinson | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Montana | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter