Model Predictions
| Model | SMU Mustangs | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.3% | 91.7% | +13.2 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 5.7% | 94.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.4% | 92.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.4% | 92.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +16 (72-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Moore * | 35 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| B. Moore * | 31 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 12 | - |
| K. Frazier * | 27 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| B. Emelogu II * | 26 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Y. Moreira * | 22 | 1-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| S. Brown | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| C. Cunningham | 18 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| J. Martin | 15 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | - |
| R. Manuel | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Pangos * | 33 | 6-11 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 21 | - |
| K. Wiltjer * | 29 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| B. Wesley * | 28 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| G. Bell Jr. * | 26 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| P. Karnowski * | 20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| D. Sabonis | 20 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 11 | - |
| J. Perkins | 17 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| K. Dranginis | 13 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| A. Nunez | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| C. Griffin | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Triano | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Bakamus | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter