Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Northern Iowa Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.5% | 82.5% | +8.5 | ✓ (10.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 18.0% | 82.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers +19 (83-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Hall | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Daishon Knight * | 28 | 7-15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Paris Lee * | 26 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Deontae Hawkins * | 23 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Reggie Lynch * | 22 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Tony Wills * | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Bobby Hunter | 22 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| DeVaughn Akoon-Purcell | 20 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | - |
| MiKyle McIntosh | 17 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| John Jones | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Justin McCloud | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Will Ransom | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin Singleton * | 29 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Seth Tuttle * | 24 | 9-12 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 20 | - |
| Jeremy Morgan * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Matt Bohannon * | 19 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Deon Mitchell * | 15 | 4-5 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Wes Washpun | 23 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Wyatt Lohaus | 20 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Paul Jesperson | 20 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Nate Buss | 16 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Bennett Koch | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Max Martino | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Klint Carlson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Robert Knar | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter