Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Iowa Panthers | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.4% | 37.6% | -2.8 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 76.0% | 24.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.9% | 31.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds -1 (53-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Bohannon * | 37 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| S. Tuttle * | 36 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 20 | - |
| D. Mitchell * | 32 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7 | - |
| M. Singleton * | 30 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 5 | - |
| J. Morgan * | 23 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | - |
| W. Washpun | 12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| N. Buss | 12 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| W. Lohaus | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| P. Jesperson | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Koch | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Knight * | 34 | 4-16 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | - |
| M. McIntosh * | 29 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Wills * | 28 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Lynch * | 24 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 4 | - |
| P. Lee * | 21 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| B. Hunter | 29 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| D. Akoon-Purcell | 19 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| J. Jones | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter