Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Wichita State Shockers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.9% | 91.1% | +12.8 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.4% | 93.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.4% | 93.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wichita State Shockers +8 (70-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. McIntosh * | 35 | 2-10 | 0-5 | 5-8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 4 | - |
| D. Knight * | 34 | 10-23 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 7 | - |
| P. Lee * | 31 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| B. Hunter * | 30 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| R. Lynch * | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 11 | - |
| T. Wills | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| W. Ransom | 19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| J. McCloud | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Jones | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Wichita State Shockers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Cotton * | 38 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| R. Baker * | 38 | 7-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| F. VanVleet * | 36 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 15 | - |
| E. Wessel * | 28 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | - |
| D. Carter * | 18 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| B. Wamukota | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| S. Morris | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| R. Kelly | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Z. Brown | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Henderson | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| R. Holland | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter