Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Southern Illinois Salukis | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Southern Illinois Salukis -3 (50-53). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Marshall * | 40 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Dorrian Williams * | 27 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Tyler McCullough * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Loomis Gerring * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Camyn Boone * | 19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Austin Ruder | 22 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Gavin Thurman | 15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Christian Kirk | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Chris Kendrix | 14 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Shawn Roundtree | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Southern Illinois Salukis
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Beane * | 38 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 7-9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Jordan Caroline * | 33 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Sean O'Brien * | 19 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Jalen Pendleton * | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Tyler Smithpeters * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| K.C Goodwin | 32 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Deion Lavender | 25 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Bola Olaniyan | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Dawson Verhines | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Ibby Djimde | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Chaz Glotta | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter