Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana State Sycamores | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.9% | 47.1% | -0.6 | ✗ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals +7 (70-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khristian Smith * | 38 | 6-14 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Devonte Brown * | 32 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Justin Gant * | 31 | 7-14 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 4 | - |
| Brenton Scott * | 31 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Jake Kitchell * | 26 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Grant Prusator | 18 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| T.J. Bell | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Alex Etherington | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Brandon Murphy | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zavier Turner * | 33 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 6-8 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Sean Sellers * | 30 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Jeremie Tyler * | 27 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Franko House * | 25 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Matt Kamieniecki * | 22 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Francis Kiapway | 22 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Rocco Belcaster | 21 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Bo Calhoun | 17 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Bik Gill | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter